Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.200521 0.232629 0.268246 0.310691 0.359913 0.415219 0.482114
2025-06-01 0.151994 0.195380 0.248633 0.318849 0.409091 0.521322 0.671760
2025-06-08 0.123873 0.170831 0.232612 0.319931 0.440378 0.601018 0.832171
2025-06-15 0.106385 0.155368 0.223564 0.325576 0.474661 0.685188 1.006248
2025-06-22 0.089914 0.137972 0.208229 0.318606 0.488182 0.739786 1.143304
2025-06-29 0.078145 0.125335 0.197400 0.315698 0.505763 0.800548 1.295163
2025-07-06 0.069738 0.116458 0.190710 0.317587 0.529955 0.872962 1.472807
2025-07-13 0.065382 0.113358 0.192483 0.332833 0.576874 0.986206 1.730193
2025-07-20 0.060850 0.109262 0.191917 0.343734 0.617290 1.092625 1.988355
2025-07-27 0.056775 0.105367 0.191076 0.353772 0.656950 1.201615 2.263620
2025-08-03 0.052180 0.099907 0.186727 0.356743 0.683804 1.290216 2.511481
2025-08-10 0.047238 0.093163 0.179186 0.352701 0.696743 1.354074 2.719263
2025-08-17 0.041902 0.085117 0.168459 0.341606 0.695443 1.392059 2.884036
2025-08-24 0.039415 0.082428 0.167797 0.350394 0.734813 1.514341 3.235352
2025-08-31 0.036407 0.078282 0.163710 0.351589 0.758557 1.607495 3.537060
2025-09-07 0.034204 0.075545 0.162146 0.357797 0.793422 1.727323 3.910545
2025-09-14 0.031006 0.070261 0.154606 0.350131 0.797106 1.780777 4.143224
2025-09-21 0.028522 0.066264 0.149379 0.346933 0.810264 1.856233 4.435079
2025-09-28 0.026690 0.063529 0.146626 0.349011 0.835672 1.961931 4.810728
2025-10-05 0.026050 0.063502 0.149999 0.365778 0.897553 2.158669 5.430038
2025-10-12 0.025109 0.062640 0.151323 0.377767 0.949295 2.337240 6.026896
2025-10-19 0.024161 0.061649 0.152224 0.388807 0.999971 2.518919 6.654515
2025-10-26 0.022825 0.059526 0.150136 0.392074 1.031337 2.656210 7.184116